Calibrating Commodity Curves in a Cross-Asset World

Traditional commodity focused systems are built to calibrate curves in isolation, they focus on matching futures quotes accurately within each market’s conventions. This works well for standalone commodity books. Today, however, portfolios increasingly span commodities, rates, credit, and FX.

Commodity markets have entered a new phase of turbulence. Geopolitical shocks, fractured supply chains, and the global energy transition have amplified price swings, turning curve calibration into a front-line challenge for every risk manager.

Accurate forward curves are no longer a back-office detail. They shape P&L, hedge effectiveness, and capital efficiency.

This whitepaper reveals how to calibrate commodity curves with precision, capturing roll conventions, seasonality, and market-specific nuances that traditional systems often overlook. You’ll see why, in today’s cross-asset world, calibration must go beyond matching futures quotes to deliver true consistency across pricing, risk, and valuation frameworks.

Discover how a unified, high-performance approach strengthens cross-commodity operations, supports XVA and PFE calculations, and keeps your models aligned with the real market.

What You’ll Learn

  • Build unified commodity curves that align with cross-asset risk and XVA frameworks.
  • Avoid costly calibration pitfalls that distort P&L, hedging, and capital metrics.
  • Apply advanced techniques to handle roll conventions, seasonality, overlapping tenors, and daylight savings adjustments.
  • Achieve pricing consistency across commodities, power, gas, and spreads with a proven, scalable framework.

Accurate calibration isn’t just about getting the numbers right. In today’s interconnected markets, the calibration process itself has become a source of competitive advantage. Institutions that can rebuild accurate, cross-asset curves rapidly and consistently, even under simulated conditions, will be better positioned to navigate volatility, optimise capital, and maintain confidence in their models.

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