Insight into Key Issues

Quantifi Whitepaper - CVA, DVA and Q4 Bank Earnings

Authored by David Kelly, Director of Credit Products, Quantifi and Dmitry Pugachevsky, Director of Research, Quantifi

The paper provides an overview of DVA and highlights some of the results reported by larger banks, along with potential implications going forward. The paper addresses the following:

  • The meaning of DVA and how it relates to CVA
  • Q4 DVA results for the five largest U.S banks, along with the increases in their respective CDS spreads that drove these gains
  • How some banks hedge DVA in order to reduce earnings volatility

Quantifi Whitepaper - Basel III and Systemic Risk

Authored by David Kelly, Director of Credit Products

One of the key shortcomings of the first two Basel Accords is that they approached the solvency of each institution independently. The recent crisis highlighted the additional ‘systemic’ risk that the failure of one large institution could cause the failure of one or more of its counterparties, which could trigger a chain reaction.

Basel III addresses this issue in two ways:

  • 1) by significantly increasing capital buffers for risks related to the interconnectedness of the major dealers and
  • 2) incentivising institutions to reduce counterparty risk through clearing and active management (hedging). Since Basel III may not explicitly state how some of the new provisions address systemic risk, some analysis is necessary.

Quantifi Whitepaper - How the Credit Crisis Has Changed Counterparty Risk Management

Authored by David Kelly, Director of Credit Products

This paper will explore some of the key changes to internal counterparty risk management processes by tracing typical workflows within banks before and after CVA desks, and how increased clearing due to regulatory mandates, affects these workflows. Since CVA pricing and counterparty risk management workflows require extensive amounts of data, as well as a scalable, high-performance technology, it is important to understand the data management and analytical challenges involved.

• Current trends and best practices
• Key data and technology challenges

Quantifi Whitepaper - CVA, DVA and Bank Earnings

Authored by David Kelly, Director of Credit Products, Quantifi and Dmitry Pugachevsky, Director of Research, Quantifi

The paper provides an overview of DVA and highlights some of the results reported by larger banks, along with potential implications going forward. The paper addresses the following:

  • The meaning of DVA and how it relates to CVA
  • Q3 DVA results for the five largest U.S banks, along with the increases in their respective CDS spreads that drove these gains
  • The subsequent tightening of spreads during October and the estimated monthly DVA loss
  • How much the DVA could move during Q4 due to movements in market factors other than credit spreads
  • How some banks hedge DVA in order to reduce earnings volatility

Quantifi Whitepaper - Managing Credit Risk By Counterparty Selection

Authored by David Kelly, Director of Credit Products, Quantifi and Dmitry Pugachevsky, Director of Research, Quantifi

In cases where counterparties, e.g., prime brokers, do not post collateral and CDS protection is prohibitively expensive, hedge funds tend to manage credit risk through counterparty selection. This typically entails choosing the counterparty with the lowest aggregate current exposure (mark-to-market value) for the next OTC transaction. The problem with this approach is that it doesn’t take into account the potential level of current exposure on future dates. This paper will step through an example where choosing a counterparty with lower current exposure can result in greater counterparty risk.

 

Credit Technology Innovation Award 2010

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